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美媒:解放军导弹威胁大

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年02月23日 11:07:04
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(  参)(考)(消)(息)(网)(10月)(8日)(报)(道)(美)(媒)(称)(,中)(国)(致)(命)(的)(导)(弹)(武)(器)(库)(还)(在)(壮)(大)(,美)(国)(应)(该)(在)(亚)(洲)(拥)(有)(前)(沿)(部)(署)(的)(中)(程)(武)(器)(。
  美)(国)(《国)(家)(利)(益)(》双)(月)(刊)(网)(站)(10月)(6日)(刊)(发)(题)(为)(《中)(国)(致)(命)(的)(导)(弹)(武)(器)(库)(还)(在)(壮)(大)(:美)(国)(应)(当)(如)(何)(应)(对)(?》的)(文)(章)(称)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(违)(反)(《中)(导)(条)(约)(》一)(事)(应)(当)(促)(使)(美)(国)(重)(新)(考)(虑)(为)(了)(全)(球)(安)(全)(而)(签)(订)(的)(这)(一)(协)(议)(继)(续)(存)(在)(的)(价)(值)(。然)(而)(,废)(除)(或)(者)(修)(改)(这)(一)(条)(约)(以)(使)(美)(国)(能)(够)(向)(亚)(洲)(部)(署)(中)(程)(核)(武)(器)(将)(带)(来)(极)(大)(的)(政)(治)(、军)(事)(和)(预)(算)(风)(险)(,而)(同)(时)(其)(带)(来)(的)(好)(处)(实)(在)(很)(模)(糊)(。
  战)(略)(和)(预)(算)(分)(析)(中)(心)(资)(深)(研)(究)(员)(伊)(万)(·蒙)(哥)(马)(利)(认)(为)(,美)(国)(应)(该)(在)(亚)(洲)(拥)(有)(前)(沿)(部)(署)(的)(中)(程)(武)(器)(。然)(而)(,中)(程)(武)(器)(是)(否)(能)(够)(克)(服)(前)(沿)(部)(署)(军)(队)(的)(缺)(陷)(,或)(者)(带)(来)(物)(有)(所)(值)(的)(好)(处)(尚)(不)(清)(楚)(。
  文)(章)(称)(,可)(以)(赞)(同)(蒙)(哥)(马)(利)(提)(出)(的)(陆)(基)(导)(弹)(可)(以)(存)(活)(并)(且)(稳)(定)(的)(观)(点)(,但)(是)(只)(有)(在)(作)(出)(了)(恰)(当)(的)(投)(资)(,解)(决)(了)(在)(中)(国)(的)(导)(弹)(武)(器)(库)(的)(射)(程)(内)(部)(署)(军)(队)(所)(固)(有)(的)(脆)(弱)(性)(后)(才)(可)(以)(实)(现)(。加)(固)(发)(射)(装)(置)(可)(以)(解)(决)(这)(种)(脆)(弱)(性)(,但)(是)(美)(国)(一)(直)(表)(现)(出)(执)(意)(不)(愿)(加)(固)(亚)(洲)(和)(中)(东)(的)(前)(沿)(基)(地)(,尽)(管)(来)(自)(敌)(对)(导)(弹)(的)(威)(胁)(不)(断)(加)(大)(。
  正)(如)(蒙)(哥)(马)(利)(指)(出)(的)(那)(样)(,中)(国)(日)(益)(加)(大)(的)(威)(胁)(可)(能)(会)(让)(日)(本)(和)(菲)(律)(宾)(为)(在)(九)(州)(和)(吕)(宋)(提)(供)(大)(片)(疏)(散)(区)(域)(敞)(开)(大)(门)(,这)(种)(说)(法)(听)(起)(来)(似)(乎)(有)(道)(理)(。然)(而)(,这)(突)(显)(了)(在)(前)(沿)(基)(地)(部)(署)(美)(国)(导)(弹)(力)(量)(所)(涉)(及)(的)(政)(治)(风)(险)(。尽)(管)(日)(本)(面)(对)(中)(国)(日)(益)(壮)(大)(的)(军)(事)(实)(力)(变)(得)(更)(加)(咄)(咄)(逼)(人)(,但)(日)(本)(国)(内)(对)(美)(国)(的)(驻)(日)(基)(地)(仍)(然)(存)(在)(大)(量)(反)(对)(意)(见)(。菲)(律)(宾)(的)(国)(内)(政)(治)(中)(也)(存)(在)(类)(似)(的)(势)(头)(。
  文)(章)(称)(,在)(美)(国)(和)(中)(国)(之)(间)(的)(长)(期)(竞)(争)(中)(,成)(本)(是)(一)(个)(至)(关)(重)(要)(的)(因)(素)(。目)(前)(尚)(不)(清)(楚)(,前)(沿)(基)(地)(部)(署)(的)(导)(弹)(是)(否)(会)(让)(中)(方)(付)(出)(足)(够)(的)(代)(价)(。尽)(管)(加)(固)(的)(设)(施)(会)(要)(求)(中)(国)(也)(耗)(费)(更)(多)(的)(弹)(药)(,中)(国)(的)(采)(购)(成)(本)(却)(比)(美)(国)(低)(得)(多)(。例)(如)(中)(国)(一)(枚)(巡)(航)(导)(弹)(的)(成)(本)(预)(计)(在)(17.5万)(美)(元)(左)(右)(。与)(之)(相)(比)(,购)(买)(234枚)(导)(弹)(的)(“潘)(兴)(”II计)(划)(开)(支)(高)(达)(43亿)(美)(元)(,每)(枚)(导)(弹)(的)(成)(本)(超)(过)(1800万)(美)(元)(。
  蒙)(哥)(马)(利)(说)(,部)(署)(美)(国)(导)(弹)(可)(能)(会)(重)(复)(《中)(导)(条)(约)(》的)(经)(验)(,并)(迫)(使)(中)(国)(进)(入)(限)(制)(其)(导)(弹)(力)(量)(的)(谈)(判)(之)(中)(。中)(国)(并)(没)(有)(苏)(联)(和)(美)(国)(就)(在)(欧)(洲)(消)(除)(中)(程)(核)(力)(量)(达)(成)(协)(议)(时)(所)(拥)(有)(的)(签)(订)(军)(备)(控)(制)(协)(议)(的)(同)(样)(经)(验)(,而)(且)(它)(也)(没)(有)(表)(现)(出)(着)(手)(达)(成)(协)(议)(的)(意)(愿)(,这)(种)(协)(议)(将)(对)(其)(主)(要)(攻)(击)(力)(量)(实)(行)(数)(量)(限)(制)(。
  此)(外)(,中)(国)(面)(临)(的)(安)(全)(环)(境)(与)(苏)(联)(当)(初)(所)(面)(临)(的)(环)(境)(不)(同)(。苏)(联)(当)(时)(面)(临)(的)(最)(大)(威)(胁)(是)(美)(国)(,中)(国)(所)(面)(临)(的)(是)(一)(个)(日)(益)(多)(极)(化)(的)(世)(界)(,有)(美)(国)(之)(外)(的)(一)(系)(列)(潜)(在)(对)(手)(和)(威)(胁)(,它)(们)(距)(离)(中)(国)(更)(近)(,例)(如)(印)(度)(、日)(本)(和)(俄)(罗)(斯)(。中)(程)(武)(器)(对)(付)(中)(程)(威)(胁)(更)(加)(合)(适)(,而)(且)(很)(可)(能)(需)(要)(付)(出)(比)(当)(初)(说)(服)(苏)(联)(更)(多)(的)(努)(力)(,才)(能)(说)(服)(中)(国)(限)(制)(其)(导)(弹)(数)(量)(或)(者)(销)(毁)(这)(些)(导)(弹)(。
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